Entering
Trades with the Camarilla {b} Equation
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The process
of becoming a 'Day Trader' is widely regarded as difficult,
if not almost impossible. You may personally know people who
have spent many months, and many thousands of dollars trying
fruitlessly to earn a living from the recalcitrant markets,
only to give up at the end and proclaim that 'day trading
can't be done'. However, the reality is different. Day Trading
IS a business, and you wouldn't expect to start any other
business without experience and yet instantly make a fortune,
would you? Herein lies the problem. To become good at Day
Trading, you would normally have to 'put your time in', and
'take your licks', in other words, suffer to learn the skills
necessary to survive. This process of becoming a competent
day trader is usually very painful, and most people don't
survive it. The sheer capital evaporation is enough to see
the majority of them run away, and most of the rest become
depressed at what they perceive as constant knock-backs or
failure, and they quit too.
Those
who survive and become master day traders cannot understand
the quitters. To them, the entire process becomes easy; even
pleasurable. Nothing could be more natural than to take serious
cash out of the market on a regular basis, even every day.
The point of the Camarilla {b} Equation is that it 'jump
starts' your day trading career; it will put you on an even
footing with day traders who possess many years of experience.
A large number of day traders swear by their pet indicators,
wierd stochastics, combinations of moving averages, mystic
pyramid Gann angles and so on. NONE of these things are necessary.
You simply need to know:-
- When
to stay on the sidelines
- When
to jump in
- When
to take your profits
- When
to run if it goes wrong.
These
essential items of information will be supplied to you by
the Camarilla {b} Equation, and if you follow the Equation's
advice sensibly, the day trading profits should flow. Let's
take a look at the strategy.
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When
to stay on the sidelines
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Most days,
any market will meander, apparently purposelessly, in a range
bounded by a high and a low. If we consider a market like the
S&P 500, what we are witnessing here are the 'floor traders'
in the 'pit' earning their crust. By bidding the price up, up,
up, then down, down, down, they 'rotate' prices, and cause 'weak
holders' to be stopped out, dragged in, thrown out again. This
is how they make a living; by exploiting their 'edge' (the difference
between the bid and the ask) plus their immediacy on the floor
to nibble a few bucks here and a few bucks there. Ordinary day
traders get fooled into thinking the market is heading higher,
buy it, only to see it suddenly drop again, forcing them to
get out in a panic. Yes, you guessed it, the big day trading
firms and floor traders just sold to that guy at $825, then
bought it back from him at $823. That guy just gave a floor
trader $2 and the spread. Silly. The reality is, if you are
an inexperienced day trader, you CANNOT compete with them within
this channel; they will eat you for breakfast.
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On other
electronic markets without pits or floor traders, the same thing
happens; ultra-short timeframe 'scalpers' with big wallets do
the same thing, forcing the market in one direction, then whipping
it back, taking a small profit in the middle. They do this all
day long, and live on the money of inexperienced day traders
who THINK they have spotted a trend forming. Say it with me;
if you are inexperienced, you CANNOT compete with these guys
within that channel. |
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The
Camarilla {b} Equation defines a 'flat channel' for
you. By entering yesterday's open, high, low and close
you will receive a 'Go Long' number and a 'Go Short'
number. If price is between these two numbers, you must
have patience, and sit on your hands. Read a book. Phone
a friend. Learn to juggle. Do ANYTHING, but DON'T TRADE!
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